Grizzled-Carry
0xdfbdacd8b34b1378c42f6390b83e99dec9f1d1d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.15
Realised
$-8.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on September 22?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet by August 23?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8AM ET
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 12PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be <43.5% on September 19?
91 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?
48 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.68
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 43.5–43.9% on September 19?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
21 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$2.60Sep 30, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$13.49Sep 30, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$4.00Sep 29, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$2.43Sep 29, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump send the national guard to Chicago?$0.27Sep 29, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$2.00Sep 29, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$5.00Sep 29, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?$1.09Sep 29, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$1.63Sep 29, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$4.00Sep 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$5.00Sep 29, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12PM ET$1.00Sep 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on September 22?$1.00Sep 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send the national guard to Chicago?$1.00Sep 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government not be shut down in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?$1.00Sep 22, 16:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 11:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".