Feline-Lamb
0xdff07b8665a6567c233ebb914136d38b90785865
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$781.86
Total PnL
$-57.82
Realised
$8.09
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
356 shares @ 43.2¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$163.60
$10.07
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
58 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$56.32
$27.51
- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
72 shares @ 69.3¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.31
$6.30
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
61 shares @ 69.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$50.69
$8.45
- YES
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
73 shares @ 61.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.65
$5.54
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 68.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.99
$6.10
- NO
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.93
$14.93
- NO
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
30 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$29.84
$14.84
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
140 shares @ 20.1¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.11
$-0.12
- YES
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
90 shares @ 43.4¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$26.47
$-12.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 31?$3.04Jul 29, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 28?$5.95Jul 29, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$0.00Jul 29, 04:42 UTC
- SPLITWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$12.62Jul 29, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.95Jul 28, 22:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 28?$5.44Jul 28, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 29?$4.52Jul 28, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.77Jul 28, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.01Jul 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.01Jul 28, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$10.51Jul 28, 16:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on July 28?$0.00Jul 28, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Fox & Friends appearance?$0.00Jul 28, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.02Jul 28, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.02Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.02Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.02Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.02Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 19:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.