Lone-Flesh
0xdfff026c41efef157c8f288d906a17a69612b45b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
5433 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 1?
531 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 1?
507 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on May 1?
220 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
36 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 9, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 9, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 9, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$1.03May 9, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.20May 9, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$1.03May 9, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-09?$1.02May 9, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.52May 9, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 9, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by June 30?$3.47May 9, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 9, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 9, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$3.12May 9, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.04May 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$2.08May 9, 03:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 17:51 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.