0xe00600258ee55e44f41983f485bfbc90fd3cc141
0xe00600258ee55e44f41983f485bfbc90fd3cc141
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$55.46
Total PnL
$4.98
Realised
$0.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 17?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$8.74
$5.77
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
7 shares @ 79.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$7.43
$1.49
- NO
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.82
$-0.12
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.80
$2.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 19?
4 shares @ 67.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.38
$1.41
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 19?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.76
$0.79
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on May 18?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$3.54
$0.57
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 19?
3 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.41
$0.44
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$3.12
$0.15
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$3.08
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$3.11Jun 14, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$0.00Jun 11, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$2.98Jun 10, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$2.97Jun 10, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$3.04Jun 10, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$3.04Jun 10, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$3.04Jun 10, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$3.03Jun 10, 09:17 UTC
- REDEEMPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$0.00Jun 9, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$3.81Jun 9, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.18Jun 9, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.18Jun 9, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.05Jun 5, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$3.04Jun 5, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$1.49Jun 5, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.01Jun 4, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$3.01Jun 4, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$3.38Jun 4, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$8.14Jun 4, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.