Threadbare-Watermelon
0xe01bcad28dc1da91142c3947e399a40e6b69ba2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$-99.73
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
1000 shares @ 60.0¢·now 62.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$626.40
$26.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$393.80
$1.80
- YES
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
400 shares @ 45.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$330.00
$150.00
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?
4126 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-99.03
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
4000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
525 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-210.04
- YES
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
200 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-24.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?$500.00Jun 12, 18:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$500.00Jun 12, 16:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$10.00Apr 27, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$181.22Apr 23, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.13Apr 16, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.65Apr 16, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.16Apr 16, 16:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $93.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 18, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.