Sociable-Product
0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$5.2K
Realised
$28.4K
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
1405 shares @ 49.3¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$638.61
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
3785 shares @ 2.9¢·now 33.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.3K
$1.1K
- YES
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
13039 shares @ 5.4¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.1K
$406.43
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
223114 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$557.78
$-6.0K
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
400 shares @ 15.2¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$307.44
$246.50
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
89989 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$224.97
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
6255 shares @ 5.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$215.80
$-116.14
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
1363 shares @ 20.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.55
$-201.01
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50 shares @ 14.9¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$21.12
$13.71
- YES
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?
4308 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$15.08
$-112.47
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$347.66Jun 8, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$109.16Jun 4, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$47.23May 19, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.71May 19, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.94May 19, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.41May 19, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.03May 19, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$280.13May 19, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$23.49May 19, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$17.67May 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.23May 15, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.10May 15, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$13.34May 15, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$4.87May 15, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$176.12May 14, 13:15 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.61May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$100.77May 12, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $25.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 09:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.