Mountainous-Cake
0xe03a7f53c69cf9567de7ad745e076911d9267eae
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$155.42
Total PnL
$-99.51
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
103 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$103.09
$3.09
- NO
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?
38 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.08
$3.24
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$17.24
$2.24
- YES
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?
50 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
29 shares @ 77.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-22.09
- YES
Will Fastenal (FAST) beat quarterly earnings?
28 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-22?
20 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win on 2025-12-07?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.19Mar 24, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.19Mar 23, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 22, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.23Mar 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$100.00Mar 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$15.00Mar 15, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Sochi win on 2025-12-07?$10.00Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill FK Akron Tolyatti win on 2025-12-06?$10.43Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-01-22?$11.36Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)$12.70Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?$15.38Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-01-22?$22.08Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-22?$25.32Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$40.36Mar 15, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMetamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?$31.84Jan 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$40.00Jan 16, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BSC Young Boys win on 2026-01-22?$20.00Jan 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-01-22?$17.00Jan 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PAOK win on 2026-01-22?$13.00Jan 16, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?$10.00Jan 16, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $17.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 13:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.