0xe051647e4306bf9f9e8fe8a372e4a74f07d9f4f9
0xe051647e4306bf9f9e8fe8a372e4a74f07d9f4f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$172.07
Total PnL
$-90.00
Realised
$0.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
325 shares @ 19.5¢·now 21.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$70.31
$7.01
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
287 shares @ 14.5¢·now 14.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$42.69
$1.07
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
70 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$36.29
$-0.35
- OVER
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5
41 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$20.11
$0.61
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 Portugal?
22 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$2.67
$-0.22
- YES
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 24?
224 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5AM ET
139 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-23.40
- YES
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Germany?
131 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.18
- YES
Exact Score: Ecuador 0 - 2 Germany?
80 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.64
- YES
Exact Score: Czechia 0 - 2 Mexico?
48 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.82
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.48Jun 26, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$1.69Jun 26, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$1.99Jun 26, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.99Jun 26, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.55Jun 26, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.99Jun 26, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$1.99Jun 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-06-26?$27.83Jun 26, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 France?$1.11Jun 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?$1.19Jun 26, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12PM ET$5.00Jun 26, 16:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 1 France?$3.99Jun 26, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 2 France?$3.99Jun 26, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 2 - 2 France?$3.00Jun 26, 12:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.00Jun 25, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$2.00Jun 25, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMCuraçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$8.29Jun 25, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40.00Jun 25, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Ecuador 1 - 1 Germany?$4.05Jun 25, 21:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 19:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 19:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.