0xe0550cf86854dd0b02a71ebe5870b18326296387
0xe0550cf86854dd0b02a71ebe5870b18326296387
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$44.24
Total PnL
$-5.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39 shares @ 30.9¢·now 32.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.77
$0.73
- NO
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.70
$0.45
- ARGENTINA
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
5 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$5.00
$0.70
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$4.72
$0.57
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
8 shares @ 57.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.36
$-0.20
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.22
$-0.28
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
32 shares @ 15.4¢·now 9.1¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$2.93
$-2.03
- COLOMBIA
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$2.82
$-0.23
- NO
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$1.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?
15 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed rate hike in 2026?$4.90Jul 7, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?$2.08Jul 7, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?$5.36Jul 7, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.23Jul 7, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$4.22Jul 7, 12:12 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$5.00Jul 7, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$5.00Jul 7, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$5.00Jul 7, 11:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$5.24Jul 7, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$7.27Jul 7, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance$3.12Jul 7, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?$1.93Jul 7, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$4.36Jul 7, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$2.13Jul 7, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Slovenia?$4.28Jul 7, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$0.00Jul 6, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$0.00Jul 6, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBrazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score$0.00Jul 6, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$0.00Jul 6, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$0.00Jul 6, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 20:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.