Salty-Basketball
0xe0661b6773b51918a24ff4b3f368bca0ca0b9ebb
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-108.04
Realised
$22.78
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
378 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$375.93
$0.29
- NO
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
212 shares @ 79.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$198.22
$30.74
- YES
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
189 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$189.00
$1.51
- YES
Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?
175 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$175.00
$8.75
- YES
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?
152 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$152.00
$21.28
- YES
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
149 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$149.00
$7.45
- YES
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 30 years in prison?
138 shares @ 94.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$138.00
$7.31
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
26 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$25.64
$20.00
- NO
Will Udinese win on 2025-09-14?
243 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-160.38
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
172 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-65.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 8, 00:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.