Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Probability
14¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$107.14
Liquidity
$17.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5997.2h
- 02:46SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5997h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 12¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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- 98¢+4.1pp
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- 0¢-0.7pp
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026. The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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