Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-579.81

Realised

$0.52

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 17

DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 22?
3187 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-177.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-10.15
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
372 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-6.50
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
323 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-30.41
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
254 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-60.49
YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?
232 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026
$0.00
$-20.60
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
230 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-44.57
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
177 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-24.39
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
173 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-68.21
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
157 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026
$0.00
$-28.23

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$6.34Apr 28, 10:14 UTC
TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$6.34Apr 28, 10:09 UTC
TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$12.68Apr 28, 09:54 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$13.18Apr 28, 09:54 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$21.00Apr 28, 09:38 UTC
TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$21.80Apr 28, 09:35 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$10.22Apr 26, 11:28 UTC
TRADESELLWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$10.22Apr 26, 11:27 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$64.34Apr 26, 10:17 UTC
TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$64.34Apr 26, 10:17 UTC
TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$34.51Apr 26, 10:16 UTC
TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$20.00Apr 26, 10:14 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$0.00Apr 26, 09:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$0.00Apr 26, 06:13 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$0.00Apr 26, 06:12 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$0.00Apr 26, 06:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$0.00Apr 26, 06:11 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$0.00Apr 26, 06:11 UTC
TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?$10.30Apr 26, 02:37 UTC
TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$10.29Apr 26, 02:36 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry6 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk52 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 40
Avg trade size: $29.81
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 22, 16:53 UTC
Last active: Apr 28, 10:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:54:13 UTC·src:Polymarket Data