Beneficial-Situation
0xe097fdf2fde20c84e85759919e3d9716f15bd399
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$188.93
Realised
$39.02
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Rafael Leao join Manchester United?
1580 shares @ 82.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$1.5K
$162.89
- YES
Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?
669 shares @ 82.2¢·now 93.3¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$624.16
$74.12
- NO
Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?
98 shares @ 26.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$95.96
$69.99
- YES
Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?
153 shares @ 59.4¢·now 57.4¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$87.51
$-3.11
- NO
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
91 shares @ 82.4¢·now 86.1¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$78.39
$3.35
- NO
Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?
71 shares @ 84.3¢·now 96.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$68.58
$8.58
- NO
Will Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?
77 shares @ 71.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$66.94
$11.28
- YES
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
105 shares @ 82.3¢·now 48.0¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$50.61
$-36.16
- NO
Will Dusan Vlahovic join Al-Nassr?
50 shares @ 53.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Sep 2, 2026$40.74
$14.24
- NO
Will Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?
51 shares @ 77.7¢·now 77.3¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$39.76
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?$36.62Aug 1, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leao join Manchester United?$1.1KJul 31, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?$40.43Jul 31, 18:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?$8.03Jul 31, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri stay at Manchester City?$0.76Jul 31, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri stay at Manchester City?$1.17Jul 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rodri stay at Manchester City?$8.31Jul 30, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohamed Salah play in MLS next?$40.45Jul 30, 14:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$10.43Jul 27, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$12.68Jul 27, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$3.25Jul 27, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?$1.05Jul 27, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?$1.36Jul 27, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?$12.49Jul 26, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael Leao stay at AC Milan?$19.37Jul 26, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yan Diomande join Liverpool?$37.60Jul 26, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yan Diomande join Paris Saint-Germain?$7.30Jul 26, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bradley Barcola stay at Paris Saint-Germain?$7.65Jul 26, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$15.92Jul 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?$30.34Jul 25, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $39.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 01:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.