Competent-Rubber
0xe0a97239cac7bd29b1b6e6dd2e0c9ea65bd9c455
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$2.5K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$321.20
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?
1166 shares @ 87.6¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$142.95
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?
400 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$370.00
$22.00
- NO
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?
401 shares @ 86.1¢·now 86.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$346.01
$0.60
- NO
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?
355 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$305.33
$-3.55
- NO
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?
105 shares @ 89.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.03
$-1.05
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
160 shares @ 46.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$68.00
$-5.60
- NO
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
107 shares @ 77.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 16, 2027$67.01
$-15.55
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
479 shares @ 67.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$35.93
$-288.60
- NO
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.71
$-0.66
- YES
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?
271 shares @ 40.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.99
$-100.34
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?$125.19Jun 26, 17:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$600.00Jun 24, 19:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?$308.87Jun 21, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$54.46Jun 21, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$2.22Jun 21, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$18.47Jun 21, 05:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.17Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?$36.16Jun 19, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?$309.10Jun 19, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?$110.34Jun 19, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?$29.39Jun 19, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?$29.39Jun 19, 13:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $66.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.