Competent-Rubber
0xe0a97239cac7bd29b1b6e6dd2e0c9ea65bd9c455
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$326.64
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-19.52
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?
479 shares @ 67.7¢·now 50.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$239.56
$-84.97
- NO
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?
107 shares @ 77.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 16, 2027$73.44
$-9.11
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?
35 shares @ 21.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.35
$0.00
- NO
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
17 shares @ 87.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.63
$-10.74
- YES
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
25 shares @ 30.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.66
$-4.94
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
1926 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on June 8?
836 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-36.44
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?
300 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.33
- YES
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by June 30?
271 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-108.33
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
250 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-235.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$75.20Aug 4, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $152.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.