Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?
Probability
19¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5988.7h
- 11:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5989h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if the listed type of consumer hardware product is publicly announced by OpenAI by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of a qualifying consumer hardware product within the market timeframe will suffice, regardless of whether or when the product is released. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, then all relevant categories will resolve to "Yes". The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).