Drafty-Patina
0xe0ac9addc56c19e771a0524f5d172af4d7a476ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-709.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
862799 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-308.1K
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Thunder
164355 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-50.9K
- UNITED STATES
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
141935 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.1K
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
125170 shares @ 39.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-49.4K
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
120793 shares @ 74.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-90.0K
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?
83200 shares @ 45.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-37.5K
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
76409 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-37.5K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
68452 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?
61687 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.0K
- NO
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
51279 shares @ 60.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-31.0K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$25.47Jul 15, 00:17 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$269.21Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$50.9KJul 14, 15:29 UTC
- YIELD$29.87Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$29.67Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$29.18Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$29.57Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$25.15Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$50.00Jul 9, 21:43 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$250.00Jul 9, 21:42 UTC
- YIELD$25.13Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$25.30Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$184.40Jul 8, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$3.1KJul 7, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-07-07?$3.1KJul 7, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$34.8KJul 7, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$3.1KJul 7, 01:09 UTC
- YIELD$25.39Jul 7, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$58.1K
Trades
3
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 1, 17:30 UTC → Jul 1, 19:06 UTC
- BUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.0K@35¢Jul 1, 18:26 UTC
- BUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.0K@33¢Jul 1, 17:43 UTC
- BUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$5.0K@25¢Jul 1, 17:26 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 6 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$25.0K
3 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
6 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$48.1K · 83% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $18.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 17:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.