Aware-Extension
0xe0acaee5baa9c147770661b87f8667a2bad5990d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
184
Open notional
$0.71
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-19.90
Win rate
54%
59 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 184- YES
Over $200M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
1 shares @ 49.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.71
$-0.00
- YES
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?
1198 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.37
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?
980 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-16.22
- YES
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $118 Week of April 13 2026?
475 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-118.83
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of April?
452 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.98
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of April 13 2026?
447 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.75
- YES
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by May 31?
424 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.80
- YES
Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $600 Week of April 13 2026?
424 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-176.85
- YES
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 19350 (LOW) in March?
423 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?
418 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-41.80
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$36.19Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$30.76Jul 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.05Jul 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.20Jul 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.50Jul 3, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$4.45Jul 3, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$4.55Jul 3, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$0.80Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.15Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.20Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.52Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.32Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.80Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.51Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.10Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.30Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$2.85Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.85Jul 3, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.05Jul 3, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$40.00Jul 3, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
54% win rate over 59 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
59 closed markets, 54% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 12:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 59 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.