BusinessExpires Apr 30, 2026

Will Google (GOOGL) close above $280 end of April?

Probability

93¢

1h

-0.4pp

24h

-5.9pp

24h Vol

$485.87

Liquidity

$6.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 6pp over 24h

    Now 93¢; -0.4pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 121h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 14.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 121.0h

    LOW
  • 18:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 121h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-6.0pp over the last 24h, now 93¢.

Biggest hourly move: -7.0pp at 18:57 (to 93¢).

Show all 27 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:57 · -7.0pp → 93¢
  • 17:00 · -6.5pp → 93¢
  • 12:00 · -6.5pp → 93¢
  • 10:00 · -6.5pp → 93¢
  • 09:00 · -6.5pp → 93¢
  • 08:00 · -6.5pp → 93¢
  • 06:00 · -6.4pp → 93¢
  • 05:00 · -6.1pp → 93¢
  • 03:00 · -6.2pp → 93¢
  • 02:00 · -6.2pp → 93¢
  • 00:00 · -6.0pp → 93¢
  • 22:00 · -6.0pp → 93¢
  • 21:00 · -6.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · -5.9pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · -6.0pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · -5.9pp → 93¢
  • 1d ago · -5.9pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.2pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.3pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.2pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.1pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.1pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -5.9pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.3pp → 93¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 93¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOGL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo FinanceAmbiguous wording
finance.yahoo.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (14.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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