Sweaty-Chamber
0xe0be04c2eddfda43bea08b36a7c0e050f4b75b57
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-159.55
Realised
$-14.83
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
395 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
143 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
90 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24?
77 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.74
- MATTIA BELLUCCI
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Bellucci
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
25 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- JAN-LENNARD STRUFF
Valencia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona
13 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$10.30Jul 3, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$20.52Jul 3, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.60Jul 3, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win on 2026-06-26?$69.23Jun 26, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-26?$45.47Jun 26, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar win on 2026-06-24?$10.26Jun 24, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$31.67Jun 24, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.17Jun 24, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$5.18Jun 24, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $11.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.