Thoughtful-Savage
0xe0cb1206c4ccacdbbab3bc1d1268294a8bf08e37
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-394.39
Realised
$2.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will Kansas win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
403 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-7.53
- YES
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
244 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.05
- YES
Will Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
241 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- COLTS
Colts vs. Rams
213 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2025$0.00
$-6.94
- YES
Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
209 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.14
- YES
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
163 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-15.43
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
150 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Alabama win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
139 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
- YES
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
131 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2.00Mar 14, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans$1.00Mar 14, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLPelicans vs. Rockets$3.03Mar 14, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPelicans vs. Rockets$2.00Mar 14, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougars$0.53Mar 14, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYKansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougars$1.00Mar 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUCLA Bruins vs. Michigan State Spartans$1.00Mar 14, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide$1.00Mar 14, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats$3.66Mar 14, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats$2.00Mar 14, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss Rebels vs. Alabama Crimson Tide$3.00Mar 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$2.58Mar 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$1.74Mar 14, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$6.31Mar 2, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.89Mar 2, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$3.00Feb 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRockets vs. Heat$5.00Feb 28, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Texas Tech win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5.00Feb 28, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$2.00Feb 22, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMen's Final - Canada vs. USA$3.00Feb 22, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 06:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.