Distant-Recollection
0xe0d3a3eb19e83acb18a22e6392dbcc1d7517b187
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$325.70
Total PnL
$-244.52
Realised
$5.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
300 shares @ 94.7¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.55
$9.45
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
160 shares @ 26.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.00
$-29.60
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.65
$-39.35
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 38.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.50
$-28.50
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
258 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
US Treasury transactions on blockchain in 2025?
135 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-22.92
- YES
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will NBA competitor raise >$3b in 2025?
91 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
US recession in 2025?
43 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by August 31?
26 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.61
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$50.00Mar 8, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 00:49 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$284.10Feb 11, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$100.00Jan 31, 19:09 UTC
- REDEEMAustralian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$121.95Jan 31, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustralian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$50.00Jan 30, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$76.00Jan 26, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$4.65Jan 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump recognize Somaliland in 2025?$9.88Jan 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?$16.00Jan 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown in 2025?$20.00Jan 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by Dec 31?$35.00Jan 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI launch a token in 2025?$58.00Jan 23, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEM1,375+ Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?$101.14Jan 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$41.60Jan 23, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$50.00Jan 20, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$38.00Jan 15, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$25.50Jan 15, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI launch a token in 2025?$32.86Sep 28, 22:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $24.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 17:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.