Defiant-Hood
0xe12a92092fdd4b94ca344a0d98db66f193be67ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
130
Open notional
$759.38
Total PnL
$-761.8K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$425.00
$-25.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
198 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$187.18
$5.24
- YES
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$56.98
$18.98
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
100 shares @ 37.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.00
$-12.00
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.50
$-12.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
230 shares @ 8.7¢·now 3.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.62
$-11.38
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$5.60
$-1.50
- MAVERICKS
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
120000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-60.0K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$10.00Jun 3, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$12.00Jun 3, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$311.96Jun 3, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$463.38Jun 3, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$7.10Jun 1, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$29.00May 31, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$37.00May 29, 23:31 UTC
- REWARD$0.18May 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)$3.69May 28, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims)$3.37May 28, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $73.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.