Watery-Earnings
0xe12c5955bbcd438d4a086b042c9e3cff76ba6587
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$80.12
Total PnL
$-664.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$39.22
$19.22
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
188 shares @ 26.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.73
$-30.27
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
407 shares @ 17.2¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$15.67
$-54.33
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
106 shares @ 9.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.73
$-5.27
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
42 shares @ 53.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.77
$-21.23
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
1700 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026?
360 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
134 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.76
- YES
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
129 shares @ 45.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.84
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$50.76Mar 9, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$20.00Mar 9, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$10.00Mar 9, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00Mar 9, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$9.99Mar 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$17.50Mar 8, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$5.00Mar 8, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$19.91Mar 8, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$20.88Mar 8, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$10.00Mar 8, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$5.00Mar 8, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand$5.00Mar 8, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 8, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$10.00Mar 8, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$10.00Mar 8, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 13, 2026?$5.00Mar 8, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)$10.00Mar 8, 12:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $17.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 18:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 9, 23:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".