Excited-Probation
0xe12d5314b806a5b0f2d3e002aebabcee1ed8efaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$41.05
Total PnL
$3.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- PUMAS DE LA UNAM
Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)
22 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$21.99
$2.19
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on May 7?
19 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$19.00
$1.33
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
1 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)$19.86May 14, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 7?$17.76May 7, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMWright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers$16.98Mar 21, 04:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.0KMar 21, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.0KMar 21, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$25.16Mar 21, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$25.86Mar 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?$1.0KMar 21, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in April 2026?$1.0KMar 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$97.27Mar 21, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$66.95Mar 21, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$32.68Mar 21, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$106.85Mar 21, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tran Luu Quang be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$339.53Mar 21, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.0KMar 21, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?$982.54Mar 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?$23.82Mar 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$30.89Mar 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$15.39Mar 21, 00:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$45.08Mar 21, 00:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $388.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".