Crafty-Ephemeris
0xe13c08f5113362ae8c02577181186cd75df230b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$32.03
Total PnL
$-12.48
Realised
$-14.94
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Exact Score: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 0 FK Kolos Kovalivka?
18 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$18.00
$1.62
- NO
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?
13 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.00
$1.04
- NO
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
1 shares @ 90.7¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$0.97
$0.07
- YES
Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?
1 shares @ 4.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.04
$-0.00
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
4 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$-0.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?$11.99May 31, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: FK Shakhtar Donetsk 3 - 0 FK Kolos Kovalivka?$16.42May 21, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMMillonarios FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5$12.97May 21, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Girona FC (-2.5)$18.00May 21, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Girona FC (-2.5)$16.25May 14, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYMillonarios FC vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 4.5$11.96Apr 28, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers$29.97Mar 21, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMDalian Yingbo FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5$0.00Mar 21, 04:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?$29.25Mar 21, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?$30.60Mar 21, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$836.27Mar 21, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$137.86Mar 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?$698.39Mar 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$15.66Mar 21, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?$16.24Mar 21, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?$846.17Mar 21, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in March 2026?$845.27Mar 21, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$856.15Mar 21, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?$855.27Mar 21, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in March 2026?$122.49Mar 20, 21:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $322.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 16:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.