0xe13d7edc19de71caf2e39315db1a9df305b67541
0xe13d7edc19de71caf2e39315db1a9df305b67541
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.57
Total PnL
$-30.49
Realised
$-3.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals
12 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$11.57
$1.50
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.00
$2.40
- HURRICANES
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.00
$2.45
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?
40 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?
32 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- NO
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09?
17 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- NO
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?
13 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.88
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
8 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$2.59Jun 10, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles$2.60Jun 10, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09?$1.69Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?$1.63Jun 8, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$2.33Jun 8, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$13.14May 23, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals$22.33May 23, 01:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves$18.74May 23, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves$22.25May 23, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLCleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies$25.63May 23, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies$21.50May 23, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?$22.50May 22, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?$4.22May 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?$4.30May 22, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?$0.00May 22, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?$2.44May 13, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13?$2.53May 13, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$0.00May 12, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$13.22May 12, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$15.00May 12, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 02:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 01:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.