Creative-Hobbit
0xe15243bfabd852739baab716c7826531e82d433a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.09
Total PnL
$-19.91
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win 60 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$5.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 5?
10 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$5.15Mar 8, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the second-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$5.08Mar 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$9.64Mar 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$10.57Mar 6, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$9.71Mar 6, 10:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marvell Technology (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Mar 6, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $650 on March 5?$0.00Mar 6, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marvell Technology (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?$5.11Mar 6, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $650 on March 5?$30.21Mar 6, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $650 on March 5?$10.00Mar 5, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $260 on March 5?$10.00Mar 5, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $650 on March 5?$20.00Mar 5, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$9.29Mar 5, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$10.00Mar 5, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$10.00Mar 5, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$10.00Mar 5, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marvell Technology (MRVL) beat quarterly earnings?$5.00Mar 5, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 on March 5?$5.01Mar 5, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$5.00Mar 5, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$9.66Mar 5, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 20:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 21:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.