Defenseless-Agony
0xe16a708242887c87a95dc6d84effec02cbe70d56
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$7.98
Total PnL
$-200.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
46 shares @ 43.9¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.98
$-12.02
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
5102 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.34
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
799 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?
130 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-38.11
- YES
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?
92 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-23.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?
33 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$16.35Dec 29, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$15.00Dec 29, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$31.36Dec 29, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?$38.11Dec 28, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$37.68Dec 27, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$20.00Nov 29, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? $20.00Nov 29, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV meet with Donald Trump in 2025?$25.00Nov 29, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$65.42Nov 29, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$50.44Nov 28, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 15%?$23.93Nov 26, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$20.63Nov 25, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.10Nov 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$2.20Nov 25, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?$23.45Nov 14, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$23.38Nov 14, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?$21.00Nov 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$20.00Nov 5, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$50.00Nov 5, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 5?$20.00Nov 5, 11:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $26.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 29, 12:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".