Hard-Chaos
0xe16f61975582511e3b6df0f4ea23e860923a655c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$92.47
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$50.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
4577 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$75.52
$2.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
522 shares @ 3.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$16.95
$0.78
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?
29855 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?
8401 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-269.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?
5000 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
2817 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-197.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
1577 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-187.31
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 15?
952 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,400 and $3,500 on January 15?
943 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-147.50
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?
895 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$12.01Jun 2, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$9.60Jun 2, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.67Jun 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.42Jun 1, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$2.11Jun 1, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$1.36Jun 1, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$16.00Jun 1, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$32.52Jun 1, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$1.63Jun 1, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$9.60Jun 1, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$0.16Jun 1, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?$1.31Jun 1, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$62.64May 21, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$31.91May 21, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$1.20May 15, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$223.97May 13, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?$106.75May 7, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$3.62May 2, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$2.10May 2, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?$15.28May 2, 07:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $66.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 14:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 01:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".