Smug-Doubling
0xe190162fb572b719795c42ac2d5bf9f5ed97a627
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-14.5K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1600 shares @ 76.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.6K
$376.08
- NO
Will Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1237 shares @ 83.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$1.2K
$209.29
- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
90 shares @ 3.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$90.00
$87.09
- YES
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
63302 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?
21206 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
10235 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-83.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?
7695 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
6163 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- KEYS
French Open: Keys vs. Gauff
4000 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-939.99
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
3333 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.9KSep 16, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$300.00Aug 4, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$600.00Jul 23, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Tuță be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$5.33Jul 9, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?$500.00Jul 7, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$200.00Jun 30, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$250.00Jun 26, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$3.5KJun 25, 19:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$279.15Jun 22, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$327.19Jun 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$57.26Jun 9, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELL1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?$3.46Jun 6, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?$145.41Jun 6, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?$235.59Jun 6, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD?$2.8KJun 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$548.19Jun 5, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vlad Gheorghe be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.1KJun 5, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?$209.11Jun 4, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench Open: Keys vs. Gauff $220.31Jun 4, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench Open: Keys vs. Gauff $0.60Jun 4, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $288.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 04:26 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 16, 06:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".