Determined-Pint
0xe190807c2e670089db7546abd983ee098b76fcbb
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$241.91
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-192.71
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
15513 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$116.35
$-179.01
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1446 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$29.64
$7.95
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8352 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$29.23
$-231.76
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8352 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$29.23
$-231.76
- YES
Will Erika Hilton win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
2006 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.04
$-67.20
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12048 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.02
$-220.65
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8352 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.18
$-256.81
- YES
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
8022 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.01
$-246.66
- YES
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7123 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.56
$-219.04
- YES
Will Márcio França win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
2166 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.25
$-83.39
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.50Jun 30, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.76Jun 30, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.62Jun 30, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.84Jun 30, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.25Jun 30, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.81Jun 30, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.64Jun 30, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.70Jun 30, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.74Jun 30, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.80Jun 30, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.80Jun 30, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.68Jun 30, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.90Jun 30, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$22.65Jun 29, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$13.15Jun 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$28.34Jun 26, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$19.80Jun 25, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.53Jun 25, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.66Jun 25, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.58Jun 25, 20:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 16:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 22:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.