Cavernous-Proportion
0xe192da7927b404e27dc10b1566c46548f73b7689
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-15.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
650 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$648.38
$2.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 17?
452 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 17, 2026$450.07
$1.65
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?
297 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$296.50
$0.64
- NO
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
275 shares @ 96.9¢·now 88.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$244.88
$-21.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 17?
142 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 17, 2026$141.01
$-0.57
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
100 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$98.25
$1.65
- YES
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 87.1¢·now 85.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$65.86
$-1.20
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
50 shares @ 92.4¢·now 95.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$47.88
$1.67
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C or below on May 16?$180.23May 16, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin visit China by May 31?$645.45May 16, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 16?$295.94May 16, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 17?$141.60May 16, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 17?$308.42May 16, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C on May 17?$140.16May 16, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 15?$63.62May 16, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 16?$300.00May 16, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on May 16?$130.00May 15, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on May 15?$105.00May 15, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 15?$36.38May 15, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on May 15?$442.93May 15, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 16?$328.00May 15, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?$36.03May 15, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 15?$79.00May 15, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 15?$14.99May 15, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on May 15?$78.85May 15, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?$35.96May 15, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 15?$14.88May 15, 06:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 23°C on May 16?$94.82May 15, 06:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $257.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 15:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".