Likely-Mist
0xe1aaa4eeea5f646e40822e089bb4cc55e5b04a52
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$135.21
Total PnL
$63.42
Realised
$261.74
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
136 shares @ 52.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$68.47
$-2.03
- NO
Trump out as President before GTA VI?
92 shares @ 48.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$45.52
$1.33
- YES
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
41 shares @ 55.3¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.22
$-1.55
- MAVERICKS
Mavericks vs. Bucks
427 shares @ 36.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-156.34
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
320 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-36.73
- YES
Will Meta reach $770 in February?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
7 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Raptors (-4.5)$4.83Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raptors (-4.5)$2.50Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Raptors (-4.5)$2.50Apr 9, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Grizzlies$554.39Apr 9, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$48.56Mar 17, 08:41 UTC
- MERGEMavericks vs. Bucks$4.55Mar 4, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Bucks$38.10Mar 4, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Bucks$1.50Mar 4, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$4.93Mar 4, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$2.94Mar 3, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$9.81Mar 3, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Bucks$1.50Mar 3, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Bucks$1.46Mar 3, 14:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$35.07Mar 2, 15:10 UTC
- MERGEMavericks vs. Bucks$10.42Mar 2, 15:09 UTC
- MERGENuggets vs. Grizzlies$60.72Mar 2, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$1.97Mar 2, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$3.80Mar 2, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Grizzlies$4.91Mar 2, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$12.85Mar 2, 03:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 9, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.