Dear-Tunic
0xe1c665a8aacd8262a928ffc405c1e08d302ddd66
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$32.36
Total PnL
$-67.76
Realised
$28.94
Win rate
95%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.22
$5.21
- YES
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?
53 shares @ 3.7¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.30
$3.33
- YES
Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
34 shares @ 3.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.99
$1.98
- YES
Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?
14 shares @ 18.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.06
$-0.41
- YES
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
84 shares @ 1.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$0.79
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
8 shares @ 9.0¢·now 21.4¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.72
$1.00
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
39 shares @ 8.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$1.69
$-1.47
- YES
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
37 shares @ 5.4¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.62
$-0.40
- YES
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
47 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.03
$0.02
- YES
Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
49 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-1.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?$6.74Apr 17, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$1.86Apr 12, 09:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bae June-young win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$1.25Apr 5, 13:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?$10.00Apr 1, 01:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$0.78Mar 31, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$0.62Mar 30, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.87Mar 30, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.67Mar 30, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 28?$10.00Mar 29, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 2?$1.20Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?$2.88Mar 29, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?$2.82Mar 29, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 28?$7.27Mar 28, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?$1.95Mar 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?$2.40Mar 28, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?$1.20Mar 28, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?$0.63Mar 28, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 29?$1.25Mar 28, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C on March 29?$0.44Mar 28, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 27?$5.00Mar 28, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 22:19 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.