Sweltering-Policy
0xe1d2f456a0bc188cb67615395a3e9a153a8e0ecf
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-592.63
Realised
$59.65
Win rate
36%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
900 shares @ 85.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$787.50
$19.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 88.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.20
$115.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 13?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$199.90
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?
200 shares @ 95.6¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$124.00
$-67.20
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on June 14?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$98.55
$-0.65
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$96.05
$46.05
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
120 shares @ 4.1¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.10
$15.17
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$16.05
$-33.95
- NO
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$12.50
$1.50
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$-12.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 7°C on June 14?$0.12Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?$1.55Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?$0.25Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?$4.78Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?$62.51Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?$4.78Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 13?$93.15Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13?$95.60Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on June 13?$5.95Jun 13, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?$0.00Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?$0.04Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?$0.05Jun 13, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?$0.17Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 13?$0.40Jun 13, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on June 13?$0.12Jun 13, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 13?$0.03Jun 13, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 13?$0.07Jun 13, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 13?$0.01Jun 13, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 13?$0.33Jun 13, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.