0xe1ddd72392e0fd53ed875c67bde5f0b5f00573be
0xe1ddd72392e0fd53ed875c67bde5f0b5f00573be
Wallet digest
Activity score
32/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.03
Total PnL
$-46.48
Realised
$-0.97
Win rate
4%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$0.03
$-0.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?
9 shares @ 23.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
8 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.06Aug 23, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.85Aug 23, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$2.00Aug 23, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.79Aug 23, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$1.04Aug 23, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1.04Aug 23, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$1.04Aug 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$2.80Aug 21, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.04Aug 21, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.05Aug 21, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.06Aug 21, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Aug 18, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$1.04Aug 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$1.04Aug 15, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.96Aug 13, 17:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.75Aug 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.04Aug 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.03Aug 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.04Aug 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$3.10Aug 13, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
4% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 20:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.