Bumpy-Premise
0xe1eaf4b8d14d7cf6012bc960858af549496318e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$-138.13
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- YES
Iran leadership change by March 13?
4610 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-102.99
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
1064 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
349 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31?
226 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OL LYONNES
Spread: OL Lyonnes (-2.5)
207 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-99.12
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 13?
192 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- YES
Real Betis Balompié leading at halftime?
175 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$40.00Apr 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$40.11Apr 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$38.00Apr 11, 23:40 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$37.86Apr 11, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-11?$7.00Apr 11, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$6.76Apr 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)$17.00Apr 11, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$17.57Apr 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$7.00Apr 11, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$20.15Apr 11, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$27.24Apr 11, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$14.00Apr 11, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NEOM SC win on 2026-04-10?$1.00Apr 11, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$35.00Apr 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?$7.00Apr 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$57.39Apr 11, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYRolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz$16.00Apr 9, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$16.13Apr 9, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$30.00Apr 9, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLHapoel Tel Aviv vs. Olympiacos B.C.$30.16Apr 9, 16:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $41.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 22:30 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 10:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".