Serious-Authority
0xe1f16e2f82deeca14603e4fcc20b90a4f2aa3a05
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-499.36
Realised
$274.47
Win rate
72%
47 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1132 shares @ 23.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$311.24
$50.94
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?
635 shares @ 28.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$168.28
$-15.37
- YES
Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
295 shares @ 51.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$167.97
$17.65
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
300 shares @ 51.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$160.31
$7.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?
168 shares @ 91.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$156.87
$4.19
- YES
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1091 shares @ 14.2¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$141.86
$-12.89
- YES
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1035 shares @ 14.8¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.38
$-23.73
- NO
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30?
113 shares @ 85.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$102.55
$6.80
- YES
Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?
193 shares @ 41.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$83.76
$4.81
- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?
300 shares @ 19.8¢·now 24.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$72.00
$12.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$1.89Jun 15, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$1.80Jun 15, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$1.58Jun 15, 05:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 15?$0.33Jun 15, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 15?$1.91Jun 15, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$9.00Jun 15, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$9.00Jun 15, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$7.54Jun 15, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$2.70Jun 15, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 15?$2.95Jun 15, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$63.64Jun 15, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 15?$5.32Jun 15, 03:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 15?$4.32Jun 15, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBillionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$18.88Jun 15, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$24.64Jun 15, 03:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 15?$56.88Jun 15, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier$0.00Jun 15, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMCall of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier$129.81Jun 15, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?$1.03Jun 15, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?$0.93Jun 15, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $28.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 47 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.