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GeopoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Probability

15¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$61.69

Liquidity

$20.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5990.0h

    LOW
  • 10:00Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5990h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

7
Same eventIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
Category · Geopolitics

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
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Alerts

¢
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