Vengeful-Thunderhead
0xe1f63821caf4b30753204e17dc40a286343bfd59
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$106.35
Total PnL
$-90.84
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of July 6 2026?
106 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$106.35
$0.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?
1560 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 12?
1443 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 7?
1400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12?
1369 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.74
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 2-8?
1167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 22?
1067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 3?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $6.50 Week of July 6 2026?$106.01Jul 9, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$105.11Jul 9, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$105.00Jun 30, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 31?$12.03Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$14.21Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.41Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$65.06Jun 30, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$65.00May 31, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$14.20May 31, 05:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$79.08May 31, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$79.01May 30, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 57°F or below on May 31?$12.01May 30, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$91.27May 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$91.00May 30, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$91.09May 30, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$91.01May 29, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$14.40May 29, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMRoland Garros WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Karolina Muchova$9.11May 29, 05:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$96.10May 29, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 27?$96.01May 27, 08:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $81.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.