Admired-Influence
0xe205241d94eed24f108c803ded4b8d84bf98d0f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.01
Total PnL
$-8.84
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$1.01
$0.00
- YES
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 11m?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Doom: The Dark Ages win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will Man I Need - Olivia Dean be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 3?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.58
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in November 2025?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will "Ordinary - Alex Warren" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
Recent activity
- REWARD$6.10Jun 21, 00:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20?$10.98Jun 20, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 20?$12.00Jun 20, 02:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.00May 20, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)$1.00May 20, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$1.01May 20, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 12?$1.01May 20, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$1.02May 20, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.12May 20, 04:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.41May 20, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Landaluce (+1.5)$1.00May 11, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$4.97May 11, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.40May 11, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?$6.00May 11, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$7.98May 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mortal Kombat 2" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?$9.00May 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.00May 11, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on May 12?$8.98May 11, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?$1.01May 11, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$1.99May 11, 09:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.