Agreeable-Tog
0xe20a04931afd87c8f76dbe7fea28dfd8ec9309a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$200.49
Total PnL
$120.41
Realised
$1.94
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
192 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$192.32
$142.31
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
4 shares @ 13.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$3.85
$3.35
- YES
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.73
$0.73
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$1.43
$0.43
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
231 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will four or more people dissent the Fed decision?
59 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
48 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$1.00Apr 12, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$3.00Apr 12, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 23, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 23, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$1.00Dec 14, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Dec 14, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Nov 18, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$1.00Nov 18, 19:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.96Nov 9, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?$1.00Oct 30, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$0.02Oct 30, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.00Oct 30, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 30, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 30, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$1.00Oct 20, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$1.41Oct 20, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Oct 4, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 15:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.