Elated-Leprosy
0xe2190879419e5911a48f56eba38cf59ccd9a55ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$48.63
Total PnL
$0.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
16 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.28
$0.27
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
16 shares @ 90.9¢·now 92.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.40
$0.40
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
20 shares @ 20.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.67
$-0.33
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
2 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$1.00Apr 21, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.11Apr 21, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 12, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$0.66Apr 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$2.00Apr 11, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$15.00Apr 9, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$1.00Apr 8, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00Apr 8, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill JPMorgan say "Buyback" during earnings call?$0.00Apr 8, 17:32 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$5.19Apr 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$10.00Apr 8, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?$2.00Apr 8, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.83Mar 13, 11:08 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 11:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$2.12Mar 13, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$0.00Mar 10, 12:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 06:49 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.