Weary-Exclamation
0xe21abcad6be07604e6a4957f71e381a75ab66a4c
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$35.64
Total PnL
$-15.38
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
82 shares @ 41.5¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.78
$-17.22
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
20 shares @ 59.2¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$12.68
$0.68
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 44.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.18
$1.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$5.116h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.1320h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$0.4413d ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$0.1216d ago
- REDEEMUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.0020d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.0020d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.0020d ago
- REDEEMJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$3.3320d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.0023d ago
- TRADEBUYJD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?$1.0023d ago
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$2.2723d ago
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$2.0223d ago
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$2.1623d ago
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$4.9323d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$10.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$2.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$5.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?$5.0025d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$2.0026d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 42d ago
- Last active
- 6h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".