Lone-Party
0xe24dff13955893d43052169b2a8fa30979d19633
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.50
Total PnL
$-78.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
50 shares @ 3.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.02
$-0.53
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.47
$-1.02
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
97 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.58
- NO
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
81 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
65 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?
53 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-36.23
- YES
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
41 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- NO
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- GALATASARAY SK
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- TOMAS ETCHEVERRY
Miami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul
13 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?$36.57Apr 4, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.50Apr 4, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.55Apr 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils$10.00Mar 25, 19:11 UTC
- REDEEMSet Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)$30.00Mar 25, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paul$1.69Mar 24, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Arthur Fils$5.90Mar 24, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSet Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Vacherot (+1.5)$10.80Mar 24, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$0.84Mar 22, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$0.21Mar 22, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?$1.02Mar 22, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Mar 21, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.08Mar 21, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?$10.00Mar 20, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-19?$3.20Mar 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)$9.91Mar 18, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?$1.40Mar 18, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHarry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer$10.00Mar 18, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.50Mar 18, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Golden Knights (-1.5)$42.50Mar 18, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $7.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".