0xe25db2998b13c631d181e7e73f38657e0d2054ad
0xe25db2998b13c631d181e7e73f38657e0d2054ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.61
Total PnL
$-81.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.61
$-0.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on April 10?
3088 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.26
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
22 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-26?
18 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.88
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
15 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
15 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- LUCAS BRENNAN
UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)
14 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.93
- NO
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-05?
14 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-8.90
- HUBERT HURKACZ
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Hubert Hurkacz
12 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.41
- MAPLE LEAFS
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.50Jul 27, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.89Jul 27, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMKurds declare independence from Iran?$1.61Jul 2, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$6.91Jul 1, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?$3.13Jun 1, 12:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$4.35May 27, 12:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$2.16May 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.58May 25, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$1.60May 25, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1.50May 24, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?$1.50May 24, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?$1.50May 24, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$4.30May 24, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$1.50May 22, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.50May 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$1.50May 21, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$4.93May 21, 19:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$3.47May 16, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.50May 10, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$1.26May 10, 14:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 15:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 19:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.