Probable-Video
0xe29028f8dccef777eb301caa07004ed94ce07fb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-619.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1010 shares @ 92.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$943.85
$12.45
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 80.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$675.99
$36.00
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
667 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$556.67
$56.67
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
265 shares @ 94.6¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$260.79
$10.45
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
200 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-82.00
- YES
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?
100 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-61.00
- ATLANTA BRAVES
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves
100 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-78.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
100 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-47.00
- FRANCISCO COMESANA
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Francisco Comesana
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs$7.20May 17, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves$78.51May 17, 00:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 17, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?$100.00May 16, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$60.00May 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?$69.64May 16, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?$16.40May 16, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?$61.71May 16, 13:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?$100.00May 16, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYGeneva Open, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Miguel Damas$16.80May 16, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-05-16?$66.67May 16, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Timberwolves$100.00May 16, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5$56.74May 16, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$12.00May 15, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$20.36May 15, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$200.00May 15, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$125.41May 15, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Timberwolves$66.67May 15, 03:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $52.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".