Considerate-Fishmonger
0xe29dc5c84f2fb4337ab4d275b9c28b3f59fd1f2b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.14
Total PnL
$-192.74
Realised
$0.13
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$4.14
$0.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
669 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
605 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
230 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-5.5)
85 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
74 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
60 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
47 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
45 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?
33 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$19.23Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$25.77Jun 27, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$26.40Jun 27, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$25.84Jun 27, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.23Jun 27, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$5.17Jun 27, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.12Jun 27, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$6.56Jun 27, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.16Jun 27, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$14.36Jun 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.28Jun 27, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.14Jun 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$16.08Jun 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.14Jun 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$4.44Jun 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.18Jun 27, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.00Jun 24, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.00Jun 24, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$23.53Jun 23, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$20.09Jun 23, 05:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.