Svelte-Emergent
0xe29fabae6483beaf8df51e04cdd627a81f61269b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-881.66
Realised
$37.05
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3876 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-82.99
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1511 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-60.45
- YES
Will Michele Boldrin win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
1358 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- NO
Will Ferdinando Federico win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
1016 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-57.04
- YES
Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?
871 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-109.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
488 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
346 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-25.28
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
295 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-29?$5.14Jun 29, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.53Jun 29, 18:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 17, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?$15.41Jun 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.26Jun 17, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 16, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $12.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.