Defensive-Fact
0xe2a0ac7c9344d5c4bf6c80abd95c344313f79684
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$49.19
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-164.61
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
29 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$29.37
$8.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$19.81
$2.58
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $108k in October?
430 shares @ 77.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-331.70
- YES
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
292 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$0.00
$-143.60
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $110K in August?
240 shares @ 61.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-147.50
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 15, 2026?
93 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?
80 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-68.00
- YES
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
70 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 1?
64 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?$11.71Apr 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$12.88Apr 30, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$25.41Apr 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$42.98Apr 30, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$10.00Apr 9, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.00Apr 9, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.35Apr 9, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.05Apr 9, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$3.50Apr 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0.74Apr 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.43Apr 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$2.33Apr 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$10.00Apr 9, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?$0.22Apr 8, 06:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$1.50Apr 8, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$9.86Apr 8, 05:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$10.00Apr 8, 05:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $10.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 09:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 08:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".